Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.021893 0.023505 0.025184 0.027063 0.029110 0.031275 0.033741
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019224 0.021548 0.024093 0.027095 0.030549 0.034413 0.039079
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017198 0.019897 0.022965 0.026729 0.031244 0.036517 0.043185
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015594 0.018498 0.021898 0.026203 0.031547 0.038012 0.046504
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014448 0.017506 0.021180 0.025958 0.032066 0.039691 0.050052
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013488 0.016647 0.020527 0.025696 0.032478 0.041183 0.053380
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012537 0.015723 0.019712 0.025137 0.032421 0.042005 0.055808
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012037 0.015332 0.019538 0.025377 0.033398 0.044216 0.060233
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011485 0.014835 0.019184 0.025335 0.033961 0.045863 0.063942
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011116 0.014555 0.019092 0.025627 0.034982 0.048182 0.068752
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010594 0.014036 0.018644 0.025387 0.035216 0.049364 0.071921
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010162 0.013617 0.018305 0.025273 0.035609 0.050779 0.075513
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009679 0.013107 0.017821 0.024930 0.035651 0.051680 0.078387
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009354 0.012806 0.017616 0.024979 0.036276 0.053499 0.082851
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008940 0.012357 0.017176 0.024650 0.036298 0.054364 0.085793
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008513 0.011871 0.016657 0.024174 0.036054 0.054782 0.087989
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008187 0.011518 0.016319 0.023951 0.036191 0.055809 0.091286
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007879 0.011178 0.015982 0.023713 0.036284 0.056754 0.094489
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007519 0.010747 0.015491 0.023204 0.035903 0.056878 0.096211
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007367 0.010622 0.015458 0.023423 0.036729 0.059087 0.101891
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007160 0.010405 0.015274 0.023384 0.037117 0.060553 0.106282
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007036 0.010312 0.015278 0.023650 0.038032 0.062991 0.112703
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006807 0.010046 0.014998 0.023432 0.038095 0.063902 0.116205